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With a sensible #Brexit, Leadsom hopes to become PM

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Andrea Leadsom (pictured) believes her pitch for a sensible Brexit will not only break the impasse over Britain’s departure from the European Union but also open the door to Downing Street for her to become prime minister, writes Elizabeth Piper.

One of 10 contenders to replace Theresa May, the former leader of Britain’s lower house of parliament says she has learned from her first attempt to win the top political job in 2016. Then, a misjudged comment about how being a mother better equipped her for the role helped kill off her campaign.

Leadsom is positioning herself as “an optimistic yet realistic Brexiteer”. Making Britain’s EU departure on 31 October a “hard, red line”, she is pushing a so-called “managed Brexit” with legislation to protect EU citizens, British territory Gibraltar and to protect trade in goods.

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It pits her against the other Brexit-supporting candidates for the leadership of the governing Conservative Party, with favourite Boris Johnson also pressing hard to leave at the end of October but with or without an agreement with the bloc.

For critics, it seems fanciful. The EU has cast doubt on agreeing piecemeal deals over an overall Brexit agreement and Britain’s parliament has shown little desire to tread so close to what many fear is little more than a no deal departure.

But Leadsom, 56, who is third favourite to win the contest according to bookmakers, has few doubts.

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“I’m incredibly confident because what I’m talking about is introducing two bills to parliament...that contain the really sensible measures that are so clearly in the UK’s interests and the EU’s interests,” Leadsom told Reuters.

“So anybody who says ‘Oh well you just won’t get it through, no one will vote for it’, that’s to assume that ... politicians in the EU and parliamentarians in the UK literally don’t want to help their fellow man.”

Almost three years since voting to leave the EU, Britain is no clearer on how, when or even whether Brexit will happen. Parliament has rejected a deal negotiated with the EU three times and there is little agreement among lawmakers on Brexit.

All the contenders vying to replace May have different solutions to the impasse, but Leadsom said her experience managing the government’s business in parliament would give her the edge in forcing politicians to move from their increasingly entrenched positions.

She has her work cut out. Many pro-Brexit Conservatives are reluctant to back what they call her Brexit-lite solution while EU supporters in the party see it as little more than no deal.

At a private hustings on Monday, one Conservative lawmaker said her pitch was “heard politely”.

But promising not to withdraw this time round from the contest after she handed the leadership to May in 2016, Leadsom said she would tackle parliament and suggested she might override parliament if it becomes intractable.

“The legal default position is we leave the EU on the 31st of October without any arrangements in place, so if parliament literally wanted to vote down that we resolve the uncertainty for citizens ... then that is a choice for parliament,” she said.

“But in all circumstances we do have to leave the European Union and move on so we can start talking about some of the amazing future that lies ahead of us.”

Brexit

Brexit impact ‘will get worse’ with supermarket shop to cost more and some EU products vanishing from shelves

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The full impact of Brexit on both businesses and consumers will not be felt until next year with shortages set to worsen in sectors ranging from food to building materials, a leading customs expert has claimed, writes David Parsley.

Simon Sutcliffe, a partner at tax and advisory firm Blick Rothenberg, believes Government delays in implementing post-Brexit customs laws have “softened the impact” of the UK’s exit from the European Union, and that “things will get worse” when they are finally brought in from January 2022.

Despite leaving the EU on 1 January 2020, the Government has delayed many of the customs laws that were due to come into force last year.

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The requirement for pre-notification of arrival in the UK of agri-food imports will be introduced on 1 January 2022 as opposed to the already delayed date of 1 October this year.

The new requirements for Export Health Certificates will now be introduced even later, on 1 July next year.

Controls to protect animals and plants from diseases, pests, or contaminants will also be delayed until 1 July 2022, as will the requirement for Safety and Security declarations on imports.

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When these laws, which also include the customs declaration system, are brought in Mr Sutcliffe believes the food and raw material shortages already experienced to some extent – especially in Northern Ireland – will worsen on the mainland with some products disappearing from supermarket shelves for the foreseeable future.

Sutcliffe, who was among the first to predict the truck driver shortage and border issues in Northern Ireland, said: “Once these extra extensions come to an end we’re going to be in a whole world of pain until importers get to grips with it just like the exporters from the UK to the EU have had to already.

“The cost of the bureaucracy involved will mean many retailers will simply not stock some products from the EU any longer.

If you know your fruit delivery is stuck in a UK port for 10 days waiting to be checked, then you’re not going to bother importing it as it’ll go off before it even reaches the store.

“We’re looking at all kinds of products disappearing from supermarkets, from salami to cheeses, because they will just be too expensive to ship in. While a few boutique delicatessens may stock these products, they will become a more expensive and be harder to find.”

He added that the supermarket shop will also face steep price rises as the cost of importing even basic products such as fresh meat, milk, eggs and vegetables will cost retailers more.

“The retailers will not have much choice but to pass on at least some of the increased costs to the consumer,” said Sutcliffe. “In other words, consumers will have less choice and will have to pay more for their weekly shop.”

A spokesman for No 10 said: “We want businesses to focus on their recovery from the pandemic rather than have to deal with new requirements at the border, which is why we’ve set out a pragmatic new timetable for introducing full border controls.

“Businesses will now have more time to prepare for these controls which will be phased in throughout 2022.”

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Europe ministers say trust in the UK at a low ebb

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Commission Vice President Maroš Šefčovič, updating ministers on the latest developments, said that trust needed to be rebuilt and that he hopes to find solutions with the UK before the end of the year. 

European ministers meeting for the General Affairs Council (21 September) were updated on the state of play in EU-UK relations, in particular with regards to the implementation of the protocol on Ireland/Northern Ireland.

Šefčovič updated ministers on the latest developments, including his recent visit to Ireland and Northern Ireland, and ministers reiterated their support for the European Commission's approach: “The EU will continue to engage with the UK to find solutions within the framework of the protocol. We will do our utmost to bring back predictability and stability for the citizens and businesses in Northern Ireland and to ensure they can make the most of the opportunities provided by the protocol, including access to the single market.”

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The vice president said that many ministers had spoken in the debate at the Council meeting with concern over whether the UK was a trustworthy partner. French Europe Minister Clement Beaune said on his way into the meeting that Brexit and the recent dispute with France over the AUKUS submarine deal should not be mixed up. However, he said that there was an issue of trust, saying that the UK was a close ally but that the Brexit agreement was not being fully respected and that trust was needed in order to move on. 

Šefčovič aims to resolve all outstanding issues with the UK by the end of the year. On the UK’s threat to make use of Article 16 in the Protocol which allows the UK to take specific safeguarding actions if the protocol results in serious economic, social or environmental difficulties that are liable to persist or to a diversion of trade, Šefčovič said that the EU would have to react and that ministers had asked the Commission to prepare for any eventuality. Nevertheless, Šefčovič hopes this can be avoided.

Northern Ireland is already experiencing trade diversion, both in its imports and exports. This is due in large part to the very thin trade deal that the UK has chosen to pursue with the EU, despite being offered less damaging options. Any safeguarding measures must be restricted in terms of scope and duration. There is also a complicated procedure for discussing safeguarding measures laid out in annex seven of the protocol, which involves notifying the Joint Committee, waiting a month to apply any safeguards, unless there are extraordinary circumstances (which the UK will no doubt claim there are). The measures will then be reviewed every three months, in the unlikely event that they are found to be well grounded.

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Britain delays implementation of post-Brexit trade controls

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Britain said on Tuesday (14 Sseptember) it was delaying the implementation of some post-Brexit import controls, the second time they have been pushed back, citing pressures on businesses from the pandemic and global supply chain strain.

Britain left the European Union's single market at the end of last year but unlike Brussels which introduced border controls immediately, it staggered the introduction of import checks on goods such as food to give businesses time to adapt.

Having already delayed the introduction of checks by six months from April 1, the government has now pushed the need for full customs declarations and controls back to Jan. 1, 2022. Safety and security declarations will be required from July 1 next year.

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"We want businesses to focus on their recovery from the pandemic rather than have to deal with new requirements at the border, which is why we've set out a pragmatic new timetable for introducing full border controls," Brexit minister David Frost said.

"Businesses will now have more time to prepare for these controls which will be phased in throughout 2022."

Industry sources in the logistics and customs sector have also said the government's infrastructure was not ready to impose full checks.

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