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#Brexit reality check

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The “preliminary draft withdrawal treaty” on Britain’s exit from the EU released by Brussels at midday on Wednesday (28 February) is a dry 120 pages of pure legalese.

It also, in theory, contains nothing new. And yet it is being variously described as reality check, alarm call and even electro-shock treatment intended to express the EU’s impatience with what it sees as British prevarication on Brexit.

The text sets out the EU negotiating stance and what Brussels understands to be the state of play in talks so far. Thus, it has emphasized that the fall-back outcome for Northern Ireland is full alignment to the EU single market and makes the point that Britain won’t escape European Court of Justice supervision for the foreseeable future.

The former has already enraged Theresa May's DUP allies in Belfast and the latter is a red rag to hard Brexiteers in her cabinet. With the opposition Labour Party meanwhile cosying up to pro-Europe parliamentarians in her party, May's Brexit speech today (2 March) will need to be even more of a balancing act than usual.

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