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Neutralisation of hybrid threats is not possible without strengthening trust between the state and the people – Viktor Berezenko, founder of the Institute of Cognitive Modelling




The rise of populism in various parts of the world, including Western countries, indicates an increase in socio-political polarisation within political communities. This leads to the undermining of not only harmony at the level of society but also the entire socio-political fabric, which makes it difficult to reach a consensus in decision-making at all levels. This was stated during the 31st Economic Forum (Karpacz, Poland) by Viktor Berezenko, the founder of the Kyiv-based Institute of Cognitive Modeling and its international branch in Brussels, the Institute for Global Transformation - writes Viktor Berezenko, founder of the Institute of Cognitive Modelling.

Polarisation creates division and leads to crises, riots, and protests. It generates preconditions for the birth of authoritarian leaders and the introduction of anti-democratic initiatives. 

“The information overload of modern society provides a fertile soil for polarised political beliefs due to confirmation bias: citizens selectively expose themselves to information confirming their existing political beliefs, which polarises these beliefs and increases confidence in them”, says Viktor Berezenko.

The war in Europe once again highlighted this. Before the war, Ukraine was one of the world’s biggest grain exporters. With the outbreak of hostilities, the export of Ukrainian products to world markets stopped: Ukrainian ports in the Black and Azov Seas were blocked by the Russian military. Diplomats and officials from all over the world were involved in the issue of resuming supplies.

Russian propaganda tried to blame Ukraine for creating the global food crisis. Despite the information pressure, the Ministry of Infrastructure of Ukraine under the leadership of Minister Alexander Kubrakov was able to succeed both technically and at the level of communications. In particular, more than 100 vessels entered the ports of Ukraine, and 2.4 million tons of Ukrainian grain were shipped to global markets. Information about the shipment of goods from Ukraine within the framework of the “grain corridor” appeared in the media on a daily basis. Ukraine is winning not only informationally, but also on the battlefield and at the level of solving critical infrastructure tasks.

“Building, restoring and strengthening trust remains critical to achieving long-term resilience against hybrid threats that severely undermine national and societal security. This requires sustained efforts at the level of structures and policies to develop strong bonds between the state and the people, which will be supported by meaningful transparency, a sense of ownership and inclusiveness”,  summarises Berezenko.


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